Estate Tax Repeal?

Repeal of the federal estate tax in 2010 – once unthinkable – now appears likely. While the House of Representatives passed a permanent extension of the estate tax in early December, the Senate has been unable to pass a temporary or permanent extension, or anything else related to the estate tax, as Congress rushes toward its holiday recess. It now appears likely that nothing will be passed prior to the end of the year and we will begin 2010 with no federal estate tax.

Congressional leaders have stated that they will resume efforts to pass legislation as soon as Congress returns, so repeal, if it happens, may be short-lived. Some Republicans have stated that they feel they will have better leverage to negotiate if the estate tax is actually repealed. Democrats have stated they would hope to restore the current tax and make it retroactive to January 1.

Estate Tax Legislation - Down to the Wire

Although Congress has been focused on health care and two wars, virtually everyone agrees that there will be estate tax legislation in the final 30 days of 2009, and the repeal scheduled for January 1, 2010, is not going to happen.

House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer is expected to bring a bill to the floor this week that would make permanent the 2009 estate tax levels ($3.5 million exemption, 45% rate), though a one-year patch also remains a possibility. This bill does not include other features like reunification, portability and indexing for inflation, due to concerns that these features increase the “cost” of the bill and make it less likely to pass given the limited time for consideration.

The Senate will take up the legislation toward the middle of December. Several lobbying groups feel that there is greater support in the Senate for reunification, portability and indexing.

If some or all of these features are included in the Senate bill, but not the House bill, they will get resolved in conference. Lobbying groups predict it will be down to the wire, with any agreement occurring between December 23 and December 30.